Saturday
Fixture: Liverpool 4-0 Burnley
Venue: Anfield (Liverpool home)
Kick-off: 3pm BST
Verdict: Liverpool make the criteria for our correct score play. If you are unsure about this bet, then visit http://www.footbet.net/video/podcast_longshot.html and listen to my podcast on the subject.
Betting Advice: 1pt Liverpool to win 1-0 at 15/2 (8.5 at Skybet); 2-0 at 11/2 (6.5 generally); 2-1 at 10/1 (11.0 at extrabet); and to win 3-1 at 12/1 (13.0 at extrabet)
Fixture: Sunderland 4-1 Hull
Venue: Stadium of 'ahem' Light (Sunderland home)
Kick-off: 3pm BST
Verdict: It has been two weeks since we last tipped in the Premier League in anger, and for that it is good to be careful. However, despite their defeat to Sunderland before the international, I still believe Sunderland are on an upward curve and I am happy to back them at home, at good odds against one of the three teams that will be relegated at the end of the season.
The Black Cats were undone by a goal from a corner just before half-time (they've conceded three from five from corners this season) and did not have the best of it in the final third, but that will even itself out over the season.
Hull, meanwhile, are in 14th place, but that is on the back of a fortunate win in one of the worst Premier League games in the history of the league (1-0 v Bolton), and a draw at Wolves which felt like two points dropped for Mick McCarthy's men.
Betting Advice: 5pts Sunderland to win at 5/6 (1.83 at Skybet)
**beware! the bookies have started slashing this price. Get on early**
Fixture: Tottenham 1-3 Manchester United
Venue: White Hart Lane (Tottenham home)
Kick-off: 5.15pm BST
Verdict: As you can imagine, the bookies have priced the +2.5 goals bet out of the water, so we are going to leave that one to those unable to form a profitable opinion for themselves. (For the record, I like the look of less than 2.5 goals at about 4/5). However, Man Utd are favourites for this game, which is presumably based on the fact that Spurs last beat Man Utd at home in 2001. Fair enough. However, the last two games were draws and these two teams now meet under very different conditions. Tottenham are top they deserved to be and have one of the most potent strike forces in the country. Man Utd are not up to scratch this season and have been incredibly fortunate thus far. The handicappers have got this wrong.
Betting Advice: 2pts Spurs (+0.25 goals) to win at 37/40 (1.925 at Bet365)
Fixture: Portsmouth 2-3 Bolton
Venue: Fratton Park (Villa home)
Kick-off: 3pm BST
Verdict: For many people, this is a prediction too far, but I can't help but see the huge discrepancies in this market. While Pompey may be bottom, they are playing a lot better than their results suggest. At the same time, Bolton look like Championship fodder already and will do well to get any points this season.
Betting Advice: 1pt Portsmouth to win at 13/8 (2.63 at Skybet)
NO BETS
Saturday
Blackburn are likely to win this one, but I don't think much of the price against a Wolves side who are capable of pulling off the occasional shock.
Res: 3-1
Man City are likely to lose their 100 per cent record here, but it is difficult to see whether Arsenal will wipe the floor with them or hold out for a draw.
Res: 4-2
Stoke are toast here, but are Chelsea really a 4/9 shot to win at one of the toughest places to go in the Premier League?
Res: 1-2
I fancy Wigan, but West Ham are due a bit of luck and Wigan are not the team they were last year, which has left me with the decision to avoid them.
Res: 1-0
Sunday
Birmingham have the Indian sign over Villa in the last few visits, but Aston Villa are on form. Let's just leave this powder key Second City derby...
Res: 0-1
Fulham are a decent outfit and again I fancy a home win, but Everton are capable of the draw. No bet.
Res: 3-1
