Fulham 0-2 Aston Villa
KO: 3pm (GMT)
Venue: Craven Cottage
Verdict: The way to back Fulham this season would appear to be: back them at home run when they are away.
But it is not as simple as that - it never is, is it?
Fulham had a wonderful run into Christmas but, with such a small squad, they are beginning to suffer from a lack of quality personnel.
Bobby Zamora's broken collarbone was a blow at the turn of the year, but now he is back they appear to be a disjointed affair lacking in the confidence needed to succeed in the Premier League.
More injuries (about seven first teamers at the mo) have meant the arrival of youth in the team. And judging by the Tottenham game the other week, for youth read inexperience.
Villa are the worse side to be facing with a heavy injury list. Fulham rely on attacking at home, which a quick Villa side will relish on the counter attack.
Advice: 4pts Aston Villa to win at 15/8 (2.88 at Victor Chandler)

Hull 2-2 Wolves
KO: 3pm (GMT)
Venue: KC Stadium
Verdict: Hull suffera from being unable to contain teams - either at home or away - for the full 90 minutes.
It is a regular affliction at the bottom of the league, teams who are on the back foot are eventually prised open - as Hull were against Man Utd last weekend (0-4, three goals in last eight minutes).
Wolves suffer the same affliction.
But also, both sides are afflicted by a lack of goals - Wolves average just 0.77 goals a game, while Hull manage a mere 0.9 goals a game.
So, there is no reason to believe that these two won't eke out a low scoring game.
But hold on, they are playing each other - and know that a win will go a huge way to saving them.
To that end, the plus 2.5 goal market is a very good value bet here.
Watch them fly in!
Advice: 3pts more than 2.5 goals at 11/10 (2.1 generally)

Sunday January 31 2010

Arsenal 1-3 Man Utd
KO: 4pm (GMT)
Venue: Emirates Stadium
Verdict: Arsenal against Man Utd is always an up in the air bet, but Arsenal continue to be good value - and for that reason I am backing them to beat Man Utd.
It is not worth staking your house on it. These matches can sometimes come down to the tiniest things, so analysis can be a bit pointless.
What is worth mentioning is that Man Utd have been squeezing the play in the middle of the park, which works against teams like Man City, but could become a liability against Arsenal's incredibly intricate passing game.
Advice: 1pt Arsenal to win at 8/5 (2.6 generally)